Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-11 · 18:00
12.5437.9%
X3.3728.6%
22.8833.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WWWLWDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Leicester
DWDWDWDWLD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
2.60
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.70
Against
4.20
10.70
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
4.20
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Man United attack

3.10goals per match
Leicester conceded1.00
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.40goals per match
Man United conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.20
10.70
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.10
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.10
Match total
21.80

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
7.60
On target
4.90
18%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%38.3%+0.4 pp
Draw28.6%24.9%-3.7 pp
Away33.5%36.8%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.331.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-011.9%
0-110.0%
1-29.5%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.49
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%30.1%–54.3% CI
Draw FT26.7%17.1%–39.0% CI
Away FT31.7%21.3%–44.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away55.0%