Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-11 · 18:00
12.5437.9%
X3.3728.6%
22.8833.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man United
WWWLWDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Leicester
DWDWDWDWLD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
3.10
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
2.60
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.70
Against
4.20
10.70
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
4.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man United attack
3.10goals per matchLeicester conceded1.00Matchup
Leicester attack
1.40goals per matchMan United conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.20
10.70
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.10
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.10
Match total
21.80
Shots
17.20N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
7.60
On target
4.90
18%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%38.3%+0.4 pp
Draw28.6%24.9%-3.7 pp
Away33.5%36.8%+3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS55.7%
Historical average
1.33–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
1-011.9%
0-110.0%
1-29.5%
2-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.23–4.49
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%30.1%–54.3% CI
Draw FT26.7%17.1%–39.0% CI
Away FT31.7%21.3%–44.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.68
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.0%
Away55.0%