Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 14:05
14.3821.9%
X3.8125.2%
21.8252.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WWLWLDLWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Man United
WDWDDDDWWD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
0.30
60%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
0.60
60%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.60
Against
4.20
10.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.30
2.60
Total goals
1.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.40goals per match
Man United conceded0.30
Matchup

Man United attack

0.90goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.20
10.80
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.00
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.70
Match total
23.20

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.70
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.9%18.2%-3.8 pp
Draw25.2%29.1%+3.9 pp
Away52.8%52.7%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.071.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
0-19.1%
1-29.1%
0-07.3%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.356.04
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.558.2%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away53.3%