Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 20:15
11.2974.4%
X5.9716.1%
210.149.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
DDLLLLLLWD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Southampton
DLLLLLWLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
2.80
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.80
1.20
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
2.10
Against
4.10
9.40
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
2.80
1.80
Total goals
3.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

0.50goals per match
Southampton conceded2.80
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.70goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
2.10
Corners against
4.10
9.40
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.80
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
19.00
Match total
22.10

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.40
On target
3.70
3%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.4%82.6%+8.2 pp
Draw16.1%8.7%-7.4 pp
Away9.5%8.7%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.547.8%
BTTS34.8%

Historical average

2.610.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-021.7%
4-017.4%
3-113.0%
1-08.7%
3-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.303.39
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.543.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away15.4%