Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 17:30
11.9449.6%
X3.4527.9%
24.2622.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WWWWWWWLWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Chelsea
LWLWWDWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
8.30N=10
For
6.20N=10
2.30
Against
3.70
10.60
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
0.80
3.10
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
2.30goals per matchChelsea conceded0.80Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.20goals per matchMan City conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
2.30
Corners against
3.70
10.60
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.20
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
18.50
Match total
21.50
Shots
18.30N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
6.80
On target
5.10
13%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches197
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%54.3%+4.8 pp
Draw27.9%25.9%-2.0 pp
Away22.6%19.8%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.519.3%
BTTS48.2%
Historical average
1.49–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-013.2%
2-112.7%
2-010.7%
0-08.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.94–3.60
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=197.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%28.5%–51.5% CI
Draw FT39.4%28.5%–51.5% CI
Away FT21.2%13.1%–32.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals43.9%
3+ goals12.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.1%
Away43.9%