Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-08 · 17:30
11.9449.6%
X3.4527.9%
24.2622.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWWWWWLWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Chelsea
LWLWWDWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

8.30N=10
For
6.20N=10
2.30
Against
3.70
10.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
0.80
3.10
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.30goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.80
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.20goals per match
Man City conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
2.30
Corners against
3.70
10.60
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.20
Match total
2.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
18.50
Match total
21.50

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
6.80
On target
5.10
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches197
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%54.3%+4.8 pp
Draw27.9%25.9%-2.0 pp
Away22.6%19.8%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.519.3%
BTTS48.2%

Historical average

1.490.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-013.2%
2-112.7%
2-010.7%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.943.60
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=197.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%28.5%–51.5% CI
Draw FT39.4%28.5%–51.5% CI
Away FT21.2%13.1%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals43.9%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away43.9%