Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-07 · 20:00
11.4267.7%
X4.8020.0%
27.8312.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
DWWLWLWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Newcastle
LLLWLLDLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
7.10
8.50
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

2.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.60
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.60goals per match
Leicester conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.10
8.50
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.00
Match total
2.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
23.10
Match total
20.70

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
5.40
On target
3.30
17%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.7%66.2%-1.5 pp
Draw20.0%22.1%+2.0 pp
Away12.3%11.8%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

2.060.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.2%
2-111.8%
1-011.8%
1-111.8%
3-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.513.38
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.1%38.6%–79.7% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.4%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away38.9%