Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-02 · 14:00
13.6426.3%
X3.5726.9%
22.0546.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DDLLLWDDDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Arsenal
LWWWLLWDDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.10
1.50
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.80
Against
3.70
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.40goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.00goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
3.70
10.10
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.50
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
7.20N=10
22.90
Match total
18.00

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.70
On target
4.70
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.3%21.9%-4.4 pp
Draw26.9%31.5%+4.6 pp
Away46.8%46.6%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS58.9%

Historical average

1.121.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-211.0%
0-09.6%
1-38.2%
2-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.406.11
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.2%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.5%4.0%–29.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%32.1%–67.9% CI
Away FT38.5%22.4%–57.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away61.5%