Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 20:00
12.0247.5%
X3.6226.5%
23.6926.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WLDLLLWLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Aston Villa
DLLLWDWLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.50
Against
6.80
11.10
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Everton attack

0.90goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.20
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

0.80goals per match
Everton conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.50
Corners against
6.80
11.10
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
18.70
Match total
23.80

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.20
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches220
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%45.9%-1.6 pp
Draw26.5%28.2%+1.7 pp
Away26.0%25.9%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.541.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
2-111.4%
1-010.5%
0-18.2%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.75
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=220.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.559.5%
Over 10.549.1%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%23.7%–45.7% CI
Draw FT33.8%23.7%–45.7% CI
Away FT32.4%22.4%–44.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals22.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away51.5%