Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 17:30
11.4864.9%
X4.2722.5%
27.5912.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WDLDWWDWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Fulham
DDDDWDDWLD
2W 7D 1L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.40
1.00
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.20
Against
5.50
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.30goals per match
Fulham conceded0.90
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.50
10.00
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.10
Match total
2.70
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
19.60
Match total
23.40

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.90
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%62.2%-2.7 pp
Draw22.5%27.0%+4.5 pp
Away12.6%10.8%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.570.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-027.0%
1-121.6%
3-110.8%
2-18.1%
0-05.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.143.19
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.1%
Over 9.543.2%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away33.3%