Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 15:00
12.1644.3%
X3.4527.8%
23.4327.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DLDDWDLLWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Leeds
LWLWWLLLWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
2.20
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.40N=10
For
6.70N=10
2.80
Against
7.10
11.20
Total
13.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
1.90
Total goals
3.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.00goals per match
Leeds conceded2.00
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.80goals per match
Brighton conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.40N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
2.80
Corners against
7.10
11.20
Match total
13.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.90
Match total
2.50
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
20.50
Match total
23.10

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.60
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches256
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%48.0%+3.7 pp
Draw27.8%28.1%+0.4 pp
Away27.9%23.8%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.551.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
1-014.8%
2-07.4%
2-16.6%
3-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.45
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=256.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.0%31.0%–51.7% CI
Draw FT34.9%25.6%–45.7% CI
Away FT24.1%16.2%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.3%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals18.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.5%
Away48.2%