Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 15:00
12.1644.3%
X3.4527.8%
23.4327.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brighton
DLDDWDLLWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Leeds
LWLWWLLLWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
2.20
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.40N=10
For
6.70N=10
2.80
Against
7.10
11.20
Total
13.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
1.90
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brighton attack
1.00goals per matchLeeds conceded2.00Matchup
Leeds attack
1.80goals per matchBrighton conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.40N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
2.80
Corners against
7.10
11.20
Match total
13.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.90
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
20.50
Match total
23.10
Shots
17.10N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.60
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches256
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%48.0%+3.7 pp
Draw27.8%28.1%+0.4 pp
Away27.9%23.8%-4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS51.6%
Historical average
1.55–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.4%
1-014.8%
2-07.4%
2-16.6%
3-06.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.55–4.45
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=256.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.0%31.0%–51.7% CI
Draw FT34.9%25.6%–45.7% CI
Away FT24.1%16.2%–34.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.3%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals18.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.5%
Away48.2%