Premier League · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 12:30
110.109.5%
X5.1418.7%
21.3471.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
LDWLWLDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Man City
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.60
1.80
Conceded
0.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

2.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.80
Against
2.80
7.70
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.60
1.80
Goals conceded
0.40
2.60
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.80goals per match
Man City conceded0.40
Matchup

Man City attack

2.60goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
2.80
7.70
Match total
7.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
1.70
Match total
2.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
21.30
Match total
19.80

Shots

6.60N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
2.30
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.5%7.7%-1.8 pp
Draw18.7%11.5%-7.2 pp
Away71.8%80.8%+9.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.519.2%
BTTS42.3%

Historical average

0.582.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.2%
1-219.2%
0-215.4%
0-37.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.386.35
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away83.3%