Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-30 · 20:00
13.8225.2%
X3.8125.2%
21.9449.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WLDWLLLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Leicester
WDWDWDWDWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.30
Against
4.70
10.00
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.10goals per match
Leicester conceded0.90
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.50goals per match
Southampton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.70
10.00
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.30
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.10
Match total
22.50

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
4.20
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.2%20.9%-4.3 pp
Draw25.2%25.4%+0.1 pp
Away49.6%53.7%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.532.8%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.011.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.4%
1-19.0%
0-09.0%
0-29.0%
2-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.965.49
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.6%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.549.3%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away56.5%