Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-26 · 20:00
11.4765.1%
X4.2622.5%
27.7112.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
LDWWLWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Crystal Palace
WDLDLWLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.20
Against
6.20
8.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.90goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.80
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.20goals per match
Leicester conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.20
8.60
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.40
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.70
Match total
22.00

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.1%63.6%-1.5 pp
Draw22.5%27.3%+4.8 pp
Away12.4%9.1%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.730.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-027.3%
1-124.2%
3-112.1%
5-06.1%
2-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.793.30
Average total9.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.5%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.521.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away30.0%