Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 14:00
14.0523.7%
X4.0523.7%
21.8252.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
WWLLWWLDWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Man United
DWDWDDDDWW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
0.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.10
Against
4.50
11.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
0.50
2.30
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.50goals per match
Man United conceded0.50
Matchup

Man United attack

1.10goals per match
Leeds conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.50
11.10
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.20
Match total
22.70

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.70
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.7%28.6%+4.9 pp
Draw23.7%26.2%+2.5 pp
Away52.7%45.2%-7.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.311.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.9%
1-111.9%
2-19.5%
1-07.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.195.86
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away50.0%