Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 14:00
14.0523.7%
X4.0523.7%
21.8252.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leeds
WWLLWWLDWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Man United
DWDWDDDDWW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
0.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.10
Against
4.50
11.10
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
0.50
2.30
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leeds attack
1.50goals per matchMan United conceded0.50Matchup
Man United attack
1.10goals per matchLeeds conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.50
11.10
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.20
Match total
22.70
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.70
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.7%28.6%+4.9 pp
Draw23.7%26.2%+2.5 pp
Away52.7%45.2%-7.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
1.31–1.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.9%
1-111.9%
2-19.5%
1-07.1%
2-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.19–5.86
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away50.0%