Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 17:30
14.7420.2%
X3.7525.6%
21.7754.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
DDWWLWWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Chelsea
LLWLWWDWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
6.60N=10
5.10
Against
3.80
9.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
3.30
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

2.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.00
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.20goals per match
West Ham conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.80
9.90
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.80
Match total
2.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
19.80
Match total
21.90

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
4.50
On target
4.80
18%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.2%16.7%-3.6 pp
Draw25.6%33.3%+7.8 pp
Away54.2%50.0%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.0%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

0.781.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-124.1%
0-116.7%
0-214.8%
0-37.4%
1-25.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.985.93
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away62.5%