Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 12:30
11.2477.1%
X6.3815.0%
212.067.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WDDLLLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Newcastle
LLLLWLLDLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.50
1.30
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.20
Against
7.20
9.60
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
1.90
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

0.60goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.70
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.50goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.20
Corners against
7.20
9.60
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.70
Match total
2.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
19.10
Match total
20.80

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.60
On target
3.10
4%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.1%81.1%+4.0 pp
Draw15.0%13.5%-1.5 pp
Away7.9%5.4%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

2.460.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-124.3%
3-113.5%
2-013.5%
3-08.1%
4-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.623.46
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.551.4%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%54.8%–93.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home93.3%
Away26.7%