Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-23 · 20:00
12.0646.7%
X3.4627.8%
23.7725.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
DWDWDWLWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Everton
DWWWWDWWLD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.20
Against
6.30
9.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.40goals per match
Everton conceded0.80
Matchup

Everton attack

1.40goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.30
9.20
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.70
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
22.30
Match total
20.00

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.00
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches227
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%47.1%+0.4 pp
Draw27.8%28.2%+0.4 pp
Away25.5%24.7%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.521.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.3%
1-111.9%
2-111.0%
0-09.7%
0-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.70
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=227.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.2%24.7%–45.2% CI
Draw FT38.0%28.1%–49.0% CI
Away FT27.8%19.2%–38.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.8%
Away46.8%