Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-22 · 20:00
11.5960.3%
X4.0823.5%
25.9416.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WLDWWLWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
West Brom
LDDWLLLDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Against
7.40
9.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.90goals per match
West Brom conceded1.50
Matchup

West Brom attack

1.30goals per match
Leicester conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.10N=10
4.40
Corners against
7.40
9.00
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.50
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
22.20
Match total
21.30

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.00
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches108
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.3%60.2%-0.2 pp
Draw23.5%25.0%+1.5 pp
Away16.2%14.8%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

1.970.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
2-110.2%
1-09.3%
0-19.3%
2-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.603.99
Average total10.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=108.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.548.1%
Over 11.539.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.4%27.2%–59.2% CI
Draw FT27.3%15.1%–44.2% CI
Away FT30.3%17.4%–47.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.5%
Away45.5%