Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 20:15
18.6811.0%
X4.8819.6%
21.3869.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LDWWLWLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Man City
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.40
1.00
Conceded
0.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.50
Against
3.10
10.80
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.30
2.20
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.20goals per match
Man City conceded0.30
Matchup

Man City attack

2.40goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.10
10.80
Match total
7.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
28.40
Match total
19.80

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.40
On target
5.20
9%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.0%15.0%+4.0 pp
Draw19.6%35.0%+15.4 pp
Away69.4%50.0%-19.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS80.0%

Historical average

1.252.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-220.0%
1-215.0%
1-115.0%
2-215.0%
2-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.256.35
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.8%
Away84.6%