Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 18:00
11.8053.1%
X3.7925.2%
24.4221.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
WLWDLLWWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Southampton
DDLLLLLWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.50
Against
3.80
8.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.70
2.90
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.80goals per match
Southampton conceded2.70
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.70goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.80
8.40
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
26.20
Match total
22.30

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.40
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%57.9%+4.8 pp
Draw25.2%29.5%+4.2 pp
Away21.6%12.6%-9.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

1.910.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
2-014.7%
1-010.5%
3-19.5%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.783.87
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.532.6%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.2%29.2%–62.2% CI
Draw FT45.2%29.2%–62.2% CI
Away FT9.7%3.3%–24.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.84

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals67.7%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.6%
Away48.4%