Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-20 · 20:00
11.6159.7%
X3.8525.0%
26.2615.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WWDLDWWDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Brighton
LDDLWWDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
10.90
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.60goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
10.90
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
0.60N=10
2.10
Match total
1.50
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
20.00
Match total
19.40

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
6.60
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.7%56.1%-3.6 pp
Draw25.0%31.7%+6.7 pp
Away15.4%12.2%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS65.9%

Historical average

1.831.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.1%
2-217.1%
1-014.6%
1-112.2%
3-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.613.68
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.7%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away50.0%