Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-19 · 20:00
14.7020.4%
X4.2622.5%
21.6857.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
LWWLLWWLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Liverpool
DWDLWWLWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.10
0.90
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.90
Against
3.40
10.40
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
2.40
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.50goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.70
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.10goals per match
Leeds conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.40
10.40
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.30
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
22.20
Match total
18.40

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.90
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.4%20.0%-0.4 pp
Draw22.5%16.0%-6.5 pp
Away57.1%64.0%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.544.0%
BTTS68.0%

Historical average

1.441.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.0%
2-312.0%
0-112.0%
2-28.0%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.885.84
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away70.0%