Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 16:00
11.3670.6%
X5.0519.0%
29.2510.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
DWWWLWDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Burnley
WDLLWLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
0.60
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.70
Against
7.40
10.30
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.80
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.80goals per match
Burnley conceded1.20
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
Man United conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.40
10.30
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.00
Match total
1.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
19.90
Match total
21.10

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
6.90
On target
3.50
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.6%58.3%-12.3 pp
Draw19.0%29.2%+10.2 pp
Away10.4%12.5%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

2.170.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-025.0%
0-08.3%
1-18.3%
2-28.3%
3-44.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.793.17
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.529.2%
Over 11.520.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away20.0%