Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 13:30
11.7554.7%
X3.7225.8%
24.9119.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
LDWDWDWLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Fulham
LDDDDWDDWL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.50
Against
5.30
9.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.30goals per match
Fulham conceded1.00
Matchup

Fulham attack

0.90goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.30
9.70
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.70
Match total
2.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
21.90
Match total
22.70

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.10
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%56.9%+2.1 pp
Draw25.8%24.0%-1.8 pp
Away19.5%19.2%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.650.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
2-113.8%
1-110.8%
0-010.2%
2-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.934.01
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.535.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.8%28.2%–54.8% CI
Draw FT44.9%31.9%–58.7% CI
Away FT14.3%7.1%–26.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.3%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals6.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.1%
Away28.6%