Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 12:30
13.6526.2%
X3.4527.7%
22.0846.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WDDLLLWDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
West Ham
WLDWWWDLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.30
Against
5.00
9.70
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.30goals per match
West Ham conceded1.20
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.30goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.00
9.70
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.80
Match total
2.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
23.40
Match total
20.10

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.60
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.2%22.0%-4.2 pp
Draw27.7%32.2%+4.5 pp
Away46.0%45.8%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

0.901.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.3%
1-113.6%
0-111.9%
2-18.5%
1-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.905.88
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.2%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Draw FT46.4%29.5%–64.2% CI
Away FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away57.1%