Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-12 · 20:15
12.3041.7%
X3.2629.4%
23.3128.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
LDLDDWDLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Everton
WDWWWWDWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.80
Against
5.50
10.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.10goals per match
Everton conceded1.00
Matchup

Everton attack

1.70goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.50
10.60
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.20
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
21.00
Match total
20.50

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.70
On target
4.40
7%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches319
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%40.8%-0.9 pp
Draw29.4%34.2%+4.8 pp
Away28.9%25.1%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.280.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.6%
0-012.2%
1-010.3%
0-19.1%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.934.56
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=319.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches120
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.8%18.8%–34.3% CI
Draw FT47.5%38.8%–56.4% CI
Away FT26.7%19.6%–35.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.5%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away42.5%