Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-12 · 18:00
13.5527.0%
X3.2829.2%
22.1943.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Brom
LLLLLDDWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Southampton
WDDLLLLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.90
2.60
Conceded
2.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.80
Against
3.70
9.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.90
2.60
Goals conceded
2.50
3.10
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

West Brom attack

0.50goals per match
Southampton conceded2.50
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.90goals per match
West Brom conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
3.70
9.70
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.30
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
19.40
Match total
22.40

Shots

6.70N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
2.40
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches127
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.0%21.3%-5.7 pp
Draw29.2%24.4%-4.8 pp
Away43.8%54.3%+10.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.051.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.2%
1-211.8%
1-111.0%
0-29.4%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.38
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=127.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.7%14.2%–42.1% CI
Draw FT31.4%18.6%–48.0% CI
Away FT42.9%28.0%–59.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away65.7%