Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 15:00
11.5263.2%
X4.5121.3%
26.2215.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWDDLLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Aston Villa
WDLLLWDWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.80
Against
6.20
9.90
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

0.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.00
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.00goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.80
Corners against
6.20
9.90
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.30
Match total
3.10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
18.60
Match total
23.30

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.20
On target
5.00
5%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%70.8%+7.6 pp
Draw21.3%20.8%-0.5 pp
Away15.5%8.3%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

2.470.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.5%
2-111.1%
1-19.7%
3-18.3%
3-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.603.65
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT4.8%0.8%–22.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.7%
Away42.9%