Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 12:30
11.3073.8%
X5.9216.2%
29.5610.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWWWWWWLW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Leeds
LLWLWWLLLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.70
0.60
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.30
1.70
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
6.80N=10
2.30
Against
7.00
10.40
Total
13.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.70
0.60
Goals conceded
2.20
3.00
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.40goals per match
Leeds conceded2.20
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.70goals per match
Man City conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
2.30
Corners against
7.00
10.40
Match total
13.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.20
Match total
2.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

7.90N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
17.50
Match total
22.50

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
6.70
On target
4.40
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.8%74.3%+0.5 pp
Draw16.2%14.3%-1.9 pp
Away10.0%11.4%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

2.310.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.3%
3-011.4%
3-111.4%
2-18.6%
1-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.343.37
Average total10.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.1%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.551.4%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away30.0%