Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 18:00
11.8053.0%
X3.4627.6%
24.9119.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LWWLDLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Crystal Palace
LWDLDLWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.60
Against
6.30
11.30
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Everton attack

0.70goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.80
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.10goals per match
Everton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.60
Corners against
6.30
11.30
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.40
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
19.40
Match total
22.20

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.00
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.0%42.2%-10.8 pp
Draw27.6%31.1%+3.5 pp
Away19.4%26.7%+7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.361.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.1%
0-011.1%
2-111.1%
3-111.1%
2-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.763.73
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away46.2%