Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 19:30
11.6458.2%
X3.9724.1%
25.3917.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WDWWWLWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Brighton
WLDDLWWDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
6.50
10.20
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
3.60
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.70goals per match
Brighton conceded1.00
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.90goals per match
Man United conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.50
10.20
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
0.50N=10
2.80
Match total
1.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.70
Match total
19.60

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.90
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.2%58.4%+0.2 pp
Draw24.1%15.6%-8.5 pp
Away17.7%26.0%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.620.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.3%
2-113.0%
1-011.7%
0-110.4%
1-210.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.313.78
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals23.8%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.6%
Away42.9%