Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 19:30
11.6458.2%
X3.9724.1%
25.3917.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man United
WDWWWLWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Brighton
WLDDLWWDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
6.50
10.20
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
3.60
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man United attack
2.70goals per matchBrighton conceded1.00Matchup
Brighton attack
0.90goals per matchMan United conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.50
10.20
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
0.50N=10
2.80
Match total
1.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.70
Match total
19.60
Shots
16.80N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.90
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.2%58.4%+0.2 pp
Draw24.1%15.6%-8.5 pp
Away17.7%26.0%+8.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS48.1%
Historical average
1.62–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-014.3%
2-113.0%
1-011.7%
0-110.4%
1-210.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.31–3.78
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals23.8%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.6%
Away42.9%