Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 16:30
12.2842.0%
X3.2929.1%
23.3228.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LLDWWLWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Fulham
WLDDDDWDDW
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
5.50
11.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.20goals per match
Fulham conceded0.80
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.00goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.50
11.20
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.20
Match total
2.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.90
Match total
22.30

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.00
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches274
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%41.2%-0.8 pp
Draw29.1%34.3%+5.2 pp
Away28.9%24.5%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.230.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
1-012.0%
0-011.7%
2-19.9%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.45
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=274.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%19.6%–36.2% CI
Draw FT49.5%40.2%–58.9% CI
Away FT23.4%16.4%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals6.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.5%
Away43.0%