Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 12:00
12.1045.6%
X3.2929.1%
23.7825.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LWLDWLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Burnley
LWDLLWLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
0.70
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.50
Against
7.40
10.10
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.00goals per match
Burnley conceded1.40
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.70goals per match
Southampton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.40
10.10
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.40
Match total
1.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.40
Match total
20.60

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.80
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches190
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%43.7%-1.9 pp
Draw29.1%30.0%+0.9 pp
Away25.3%26.3%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.411.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
1-010.5%
2-09.5%
0-18.9%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.57
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=190.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%22.8%–44.7% CI
Draw FT43.3%32.1%–55.2% CI
Away FT23.9%15.3%–35.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.2%
Away52.2%