Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 12:00
12.1045.6%
X3.2929.1%
23.7825.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Southampton
LWLDWLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Burnley
LWDLLWLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
10%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
0.70
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.50
Against
7.40
10.10
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Southampton attack
1.00goals per matchBurnley conceded1.40Matchup
Burnley attack
0.70goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.40
10.10
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.40
Match total
1.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.40
Match total
20.60
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.80
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches190
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%43.7%-1.9 pp
Draw29.1%30.0%+0.9 pp
Away25.3%26.3%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS55.3%
Historical average
1.41–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.4%
1-010.5%
2-09.5%
0-18.9%
2-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–4.57
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=190.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%22.8%–44.7% CI
Draw FT43.3%32.1%–55.2% CI
Away FT23.9%15.3%–35.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals14.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.2%
Away52.2%