Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 20:00
13.1330.6%
X3.5626.9%
22.2642.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arsenal
LLDWDWDWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Liverpool
DDWDLWWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.70
Against
3.70
10.60
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arsenal attack
1.40goals per matchLiverpool conceded0.80Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.90goals per matchArsenal conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.70
10.60
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.20
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
22.50
Match total
18.60
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.10
On target
4.90
10%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches138
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.6%23.9%-6.7 pp
Draw26.9%30.4%+3.5 pp
Away42.4%45.7%+3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS60.9%
Historical average
1.17–1.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
1-211.6%
0-29.4%
2-27.2%
0-06.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.75–5.42
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=138.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%6.3%–29.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%25.6%–56.4% CI
Away FT45.7%30.5%–61.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.49
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals17.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home31.4%
Away68.6%