Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 17:30
16.1615.5%
X4.0723.5%
21.5761.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
LWLDWWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Man City
LDWWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.20
1.30
Conceded
0.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.80
Against
3.00
9.90
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded
0.50
3.30
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

2.00goals per match
Man City conceded0.50
Matchup

Man City attack

2.20goals per match
Leicester conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.00
9.90
Match total
7.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
22.70
Match total
20.50

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
5.10
On target
5.30
15%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.5%15.6%+0.1 pp
Draw23.5%9.4%-14.1 pp
Away61.0%75.0%+14.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

0.911.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-221.9%
0-121.9%
1-39.4%
0-29.4%
0-49.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.845.84
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.528.1%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.8%
Away76.9%