Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 17:30
16.1615.5%
X4.0723.5%
21.5761.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leicester
LWLDWWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Man City
LDWWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
2.20
1.30
Conceded
0.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.80
Against
3.00
9.90
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded
0.50
3.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leicester attack
2.00goals per matchMan City conceded0.50Matchup
Man City attack
2.20goals per matchLeicester conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.00
9.90
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
22.70
Match total
20.50
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
5.10
On target
5.30
15%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.5%15.6%+0.1 pp
Draw23.5%9.4%-14.1 pp
Away61.0%75.0%+14.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS56.3%
Historical average
0.91–1.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-221.9%
0-121.9%
1-39.4%
0-29.4%
0-49.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.84–5.84
Average total9.69
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.528.1%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.8%
Away76.9%