Super Lig · 2020/21
2021-05-15 · 16:00
11.4465.2%
X4.6920.0%
26.3614.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Karagumruk
LWLWLWWDDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Denizlispor
LLLLLLLDLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.40
Against
6.80
10.90
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.60
2.90
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Karagumruk attack
1.80goals per matchDenizlispor conceded2.60Matchup
Denizlispor attack
0.70goals per matchKaragumruk conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.80
10.90
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
27.70
Match total
25.60
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.20
On target
3.20
17%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.2%57.4%-7.8 pp
Draw20.0%29.6%+9.6 pp
Away14.8%13.0%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS63.0%
Historical average
2.28–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
2-113.0%
2-27.4%
3-07.4%
0-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.48–3.35
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away50.0%