Premier League · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 12:30
11.2278.5%
X6.3315.1%
214.996.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DWWDLDWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
West Brom
LLDDWLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
0.50
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
0.80
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.30
Against
7.20
10.20
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.40goals per match
West Brom conceded1.40
Matchup

West Brom attack

0.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
2.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
7.20
10.20
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.50
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.20
Match total
22.50

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
6.10
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.5%92.3%+13.8 pp
Draw15.1%7.7%-7.4 pp
Away6.4%0.0%-6.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS30.8%

Historical average

2.620.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-023.1%
3-015.4%
2-015.4%
4-17.7%
4-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.852.77
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT85.0%64.0%–94.8% CI
Draw FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–16.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals35.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home95.0%
Away20.0%