Super Lig · 2020/21
2021-05-11 · 18:30
11.5760.2%
X4.2322.3%
25.4017.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alanyaspor
WWWLDWLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Erzurum BB
WDWLLLDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.40
Against
5.50
11.10
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alanyaspor attack
2.10goals per matchErzurum BB conceded1.70Matchup
Erzurum BB attack
1.40goals per matchAlanyaspor conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.50
11.10
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
26.60
Match total
29.70
Shots
19.30N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.80
On target
4.60
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.2%58.6%-1.6 pp
Draw22.3%19.5%-2.8 pp
Away17.5%21.8%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.540.2%
BTTS57.5%
Historical average
2.09–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.5%
1-010.3%
2-19.2%
4-06.9%
4-16.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–4.01
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Draw FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.61
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals47.8%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.3%
Away52.2%