Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 19:30
12.9732.2%
X3.3828.3%
22.4239.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LLLDWWLWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Tottenham
DDLDWLLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.90
Against
5.60
11.00
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.30
Matchup

Tottenham attack

0.90goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.60
11.00
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.10
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
27.90
Match total
23.80

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.30
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches127
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%31.5%-0.7 pp
Draw28.3%29.9%+1.6 pp
Away39.5%38.6%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.131.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.9%
1-013.4%
1-211.0%
0-28.7%
2-15.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.805.22
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=127.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%24.9%–54.1% CI
Draw FT33.3%20.6%–49.0% CI
Away FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away51.3%