Super Lig · 2020/21
2021-05-03 · 18:30
11.4564.8%
X4.5120.8%
26.5614.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fenerbahce
WWWLLDLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Erzurum BB
LWDWLLLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
8.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
2.70
Against
4.90
11.00
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fenerbahce attack
1.60goals per matchErzurum BB conceded1.50Matchup
Erzurum BB attack
1.30goals per matchFenerbahce conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.90
11.00
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.30
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
30.70
Match total
29.70
Shots
17.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
6.70
On target
4.60
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%78.9%+14.1 pp
Draw20.8%14.0%-6.8 pp
Away14.3%7.0%-7.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS49.1%
Historical average
2.23–0.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-121.1%
2-015.8%
1-010.5%
3-08.8%
1-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.53–3.30
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.7%51.2%–88.2% CI
Draw FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal94.7%
2+ goals68.4%
3+ goals36.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.2%
Away42.1%