Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 20:00
11.6657.6%
X3.5427.0%
26.2415.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DLDLDDWDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Newcastle
WLLLLLWLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.00
Against
7.00
10.90
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.10
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.90goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.80
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.70goals per match
Brighton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.00
Corners against
7.00
10.90
Match total
11.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.50
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.40
On target
3.60
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%50.0%-7.6 pp
Draw27.0%27.1%+0.1 pp
Away15.3%22.9%+7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.514.6%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.440.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.8%
1-112.5%
0-010.4%
2-010.4%
0-110.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.633.63
Average total9.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away35.7%