Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-14 · 12:00
12.9832.1%
X3.0731.1%
22.6036.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WLWLDWLLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Brighton
LWLDDLWWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.30
Against
6.50
10.30
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.10goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.80goals per match
Southampton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.50
10.30
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
0.60N=10
2.70
Match total
1.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.60
Match total
20.20

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.20
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%33.1%+1.0 pp
Draw31.1%36.8%+5.6 pp
Away36.8%30.1%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.514.7%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

1.091.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
0-014.7%
0-111.8%
1-08.8%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.564.43
Average total8.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=136.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.527.9%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%18.1%–40.8% CI
Draw FT49.1%36.6%–61.7% CI
Away FT22.8%13.8%–35.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.9%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.9%
Away42.1%