Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 17:30
11.8850.9%
X3.4927.4%
24.4221.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LLWWLDLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Burnley
DLWDLLWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.50
1.40
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
0%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.40
Against
7.20
10.90
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
0%0/10
Matchup

Everton attack

0.70goals per match
Burnley conceded1.30
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.50goals per match
Everton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.00
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
6.40
Corners against
7.20
10.90
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
0.80N=10
3.60
Match total
1.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.00
Match total
20.70

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
2.70
On target
2.70
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches166
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.9%53.6%+2.7 pp
Draw27.4%27.1%-0.3 pp
Away21.7%19.3%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.570.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.1%
1-013.3%
0-010.8%
2-08.4%
1-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.06
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=166.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.6%27.1%–51.6% CI
Draw FT36.8%25.5%–49.8% CI
Away FT24.6%15.2%–37.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals19.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away35.1%