Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 12:30
14.5721.0%
X3.9024.6%
21.7654.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
LDLWWLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Chelsea
WLLLWLWWDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.30
Against
4.30
10.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.40goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.00
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.00goals per match
Leeds conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.30
10.00
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.20
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.60
Match total
22.20

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.50
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%30.6%+9.6 pp
Draw24.6%20.8%-3.7 pp
Away54.5%48.6%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.321.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.1%
2-08.3%
2-38.3%
1-06.9%
1-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.755.57
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.529.2%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Draw FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Away FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away50.0%