Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-10 · 18:00
11.2179.3%
X6.9113.9%
214.176.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
DWWWWWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Southampton
DWDDLLLLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
0.50
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.00
Against
3.90
10.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Southampton conceded2.10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.80goals per match
Man City conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.00
Corners against
3.90
10.90
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.60
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

7.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
17.80
Match total
24.10

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
6.40
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.3%82.1%+2.8 pp
Draw13.9%10.7%-3.2 pp
Away6.8%7.1%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS39.3%

Historical average

2.110.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-017.9%
1-017.9%
2-117.9%
2-014.3%
1-110.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.792.64
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away26.7%