Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-08 · 18:00
11.5561.7%
X4.1423.1%
26.2915.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WDWWDLDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Everton
LWDWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.70
Against
5.30
10.50
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.60goals per match
Everton conceded1.00
Matchup

Everton attack

1.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.30
10.50
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.80
Match total
20.10

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.10
On target
4.70
10%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.7%60.4%-1.3 pp
Draw23.1%23.8%+0.7 pp
Away15.2%15.8%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS44.6%

Historical average

1.850.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.9%
1-111.9%
2-19.9%
2-07.9%
3-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.743.86
Average total10.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.539.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI
Away FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away40.6%