Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-08 · 18:00
11.5561.7%
X4.1423.1%
26.2915.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chelsea
WDWWDLDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Everton
LWDWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.70
Against
5.30
10.50
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.60goals per matchEverton conceded1.00Matchup
Everton attack
1.80goals per matchChelsea conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.30
10.50
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.80
Match total
20.10
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.10
On target
4.70
10%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.7%60.4%-1.3 pp
Draw23.1%23.8%+0.7 pp
Away15.2%15.8%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS44.6%
Historical average
1.85–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.9%
1-111.9%
2-19.9%
2-07.9%
3-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.74–3.86
Average total10.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.548.5%
Over 11.539.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI
Away FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.3%
Away40.6%