Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 16:30
11.5063.8%
X4.3522.0%
26.7414.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Man United
WWDWDWDDDD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
0.30
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

9.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.10
Against
4.30
11.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.30
Goals conceded
0.70
2.50
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.20goals per match
Man United conceded0.70
Matchup

Man United attack

1.20goals per match
Man City conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.10
Corners against
4.30
11.30
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.30
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

7.60N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
17.00
Match total
22.40

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
6.40
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.8%61.3%-2.5 pp
Draw22.0%27.4%+5.4 pp
Away14.2%11.3%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.320.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.3%
2-19.7%
4-09.7%
3-09.7%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.923.94
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away26.7%