Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 14:00
11.3869.4%
X4.9819.2%
28.3911.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWWDDLLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Fulham
LWLDDDDWDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.70
Against
5.50
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.10goals per match
Fulham conceded0.90
Matchup

Fulham attack

0.90goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.50
9.90
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.00
Match total
2.20
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
18.90
Match total
22.40

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.20
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.4%57.1%-12.2 pp
Draw19.2%32.1%+12.9 pp
Away11.4%10.7%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.890.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.4%
2-014.3%
2-210.7%
1-010.7%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.893.89
Average total10.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away50.0%