Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 12:00
12.4539.1%
X3.2029.9%
23.0931.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Brom
WLLLLLDDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Newcastle
LWLLLLLWLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.70
2.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.00
Against
6.90
10.40
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.70
2.60
Goals conceded
2.00
3.20
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

West Brom attack

0.60goals per match
Newcastle conceded2.00
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.70goals per match
West Brom conceded2.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.90
10.40
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.80
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
19.20
Match total
21.20

Shots

7.10N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
2.70
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches266
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%41.4%+2.3 pp
Draw29.9%30.1%+0.2 pp
Away31.0%28.6%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.221.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-015.0%
0-010.2%
0-110.2%
2-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.884.60
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=266.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.7%24.4%–42.2% CI
Draw FT40.4%31.5%–50.0% CI
Away FT26.9%19.3%–36.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals20.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away48.1%