Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 20:00
12.5637.4%
X3.2429.6%
22.9033.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DDLDLDDWDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Leicester
LWWDWDWDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
2.70
Against
5.60
10.50
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
1.80
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.80goals per match
Leicester conceded0.90
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.30goals per match
Brighton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.60
10.50
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
2.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
20.90
Match total
22.30

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
4.50
On target
4.30
5%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%29.1%-8.3 pp
Draw29.6%39.3%+9.7 pp
Away33.0%31.6%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS56.1%

Historical average

1.151.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.9%
0-011.2%
0-110.7%
2-18.2%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.59
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=195.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%10.0%–29.8% CI
Draw FT58.9%45.9%–70.8% CI
Away FT23.2%14.1%–35.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.7%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals8.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.3%
Away44.6%