Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 17:30
12.4239.6%
X3.2029.9%
23.1430.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WLLLDWWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Wolves
WLLLDDLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.30
Against
5.10
11.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.90goals per match
Wolves conceded1.80
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.00goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.10
11.10
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.30
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
27.00
Match total
20.80

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
6.30
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches303
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.6%38.6%-1.0 pp
Draw29.9%31.7%+1.8 pp
Away30.5%29.7%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.281.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
1-011.9%
2-19.2%
0-19.2%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.82
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=303.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches115
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.2%18.2%–33.9% CI
Draw FT43.5%34.8%–52.6% CI
Away FT31.3%23.5%–40.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals46.1%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.0%
Away58.3%