Premier League · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 17:30
12.4239.6%
X3.2029.9%
23.1430.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aston Villa
WLLLDWWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Wolves
WLLLDDLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.30
Against
5.10
11.10
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aston Villa attack
1.90goals per matchWolves conceded1.80Matchup
Wolves attack
1.00goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.10
11.10
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.30
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
27.00
Match total
20.80
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
6.30
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches303
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.6%38.6%-1.0 pp
Draw29.9%31.7%+1.8 pp
Away30.5%29.7%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.28–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.2%
1-011.9%
2-19.2%
0-19.2%
0-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.98–4.82
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=303.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.525.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches115
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.2%18.2%–33.9% CI
Draw FT43.5%34.8%–52.6% CI
Away FT31.3%23.5%–40.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals46.1%
3+ goals16.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.0%
Away58.3%